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Two men shaking hands    Description automatically generated
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, left, shakes hands with U.S. Defence force Secretary Lloyd Austin during their meeting in Kyiv, Ukraine, Tuesday, October 19, 2021. [Source: cbs17.com]

CIA Director Burns subsequently went to Moscow to try and intimidate Putin into revoking troop buildup on Ukrainian edge

[Russell Bentley, a Texan and author of this article, served in the Donbass army. His motivation was to fight fascism; he envisioned himself as an heir to members of the Abraham Lincoln Brigade who volunteered to fight fascism in Spain during the Castilian Civil War.

In function one, Bentley's provides an cess of the electric current tensions in the Ukraine and the graphic symbol of the government. Ranked equally one of the most corrupt governments in the earth, it is a monstrous creation of the U.S. empire guilty of large-scale state of war crimes.

In part 2, Bentley discusses three potential military options for Russia. CAM'south position on this disharmonize is to endorse the Minsk protocol, which focuses on a diplomatic settlement that offers the Eastern Ukrainian provinces considerable autonomy and could help defuse tensions in the region.

The third military option discussed by Bentley—the Kyiv program which would entail a Russian march on Kyiv—has three chief dangers: a) Ukrainian rightists and nationalists would mobilize confronting the Russians and pro-Russian forces, prompting a prolonged and devastating state of war that could be a quagmire for Russia (rather than a cakewalk, as Bentley suggests); b) a Russian invasion would potentially ignite Earth War III by drawing in the U.Southward. and NATO; and c) information technology could fifty-fifty lead to the advent of nuclear state of war.

Russian President Vladimir Putin appears to be conscious of these dangers and intent on restraining hawkish elements inside the Russian military—a good thing. At the same time, he has made information technology clear that Russia will defend its interests and not exist pushed around.—Editors]

Part ane

On Oct 18thursday, U.South. Secretary of Defence force Lloyd Austin III met with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky to affirm U.S. back up for Ukraine's state of war against its eastern provinces.

Since the beginning of the conflict in 2014, the United States has provided more than $two.5 billion in security assist to Ukraine, including $275 million in military assist that has been announced in the last ten months under President Joe Biden, a staunch champion of the state of war from its inception.

In early November, President Biden dispatched CIA Director William F. Burns to Moscow to warn the Kremlin about its troop buildup on the Ukraine edge and to endeavour and force it to dorsum off. Secretarial assistant of Country Antony Blinken followed upward this past week by threatening Russia farther in a articulation press briefing in Washington with the Ukrainian Foreign Government minister Dmytro Kuleba.

Minsk Protocol - Wikipedia
[Source: wikipedia.org]

Ukraine, still, started the state of war post-obit the February 2014 U.S. backed coup and carried out sustained war crimes.

A picture containing person, outdoor    Description automatically generated
Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) agents torture Andrey Kosyak, the captured officer of the Lugansk People's Republic Office at the Articulation Heart for Control and Coordination (JCCC). [Source: lug-info.com]

These crimes include: a) the recent kidnapping and torture of a Russian armistice monitor in Lugansk; b) a recent assault on Staromaryevka, a settlement of 180 civilians in the de-militarized "Grey Zone," which included the kidnapping of 8 more unarmed civilians (who were likewise Russian citizens) by neo-Nazi terrorists; and c) the utilise of a Turkish Bayraktar attack drone confronting Donbass defense forces.

All this is in addition to the repeated shelling of civilian areas and infrastructure along with a hardening of war rhetoric by the Kyiv regime—with U.Due south. bankroll.

Readying for State of war

The principal hope for a diplomatic solution to the disharmonize in Ukraine lies with the Minsk peace accords—which includes a provision that would allow for considerable autonomy for the eastern provinces. Predictably, the U.Southward. and Ukraine take shown picayune interest in adhering to the Minsk accords.

Collage: Euromaidan Press
Belarusan President Alyaksandr Lukashenka, Russian President Vladimir Putin, German Chancellor Angela Merkel, French President Francois Hollande, Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko, after the signing of Minsk-2 in 2015. [Source: euromaidanpress.com]

A no-wing zone is currently beingness enforced by Russia in the airspace over the Donbass Republic. Russia cannot recognize the Donetsk Republic because it would invite further U.Southward. sanctions and efforts at political isolation; the Donetsk Commonwealth is considered to exist a renegade and the U.S. wants Russia to stay out of the war.

All war machine units of the DPR are currently on full combat alarm. News reports and videos accept appeared with Russian armor, including "hundreds" of heavy combat vehicles, and 80,000 to 90,000 troops, moving toward the Ukrainian border from the Bryansk, Voronezh and Rostov military districts. They are stationed at Novy Yerkovich—a four-hour (250 km) drive to Kyiv—and along the border near Kharkov, which lies a scant 30 kilometers from Russian federation's border.

Satellite imagery shows armored units and support equipment.
Satellite imagery pointing to Russian troop buildup on Ukrainian border. [Source: political leader.com]

The troop buildup indicates that Russia is prepared to defend the Donbass region, which consists of well-nigh a million Russian citizens, and to potentially get further and liberate the part of Ukraine populated primarily by ethnic and Russian-speaking Russians.

Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelenskiy visits positions of armed forces near the frontline with Russian-backed separatists during his working trip in Donbass region, Ukraine April 8, 2021.
Ukraine'southward President Volodymyr Zelensky visits positions of armed services near the front line with Russian-backed separatists during his working trip in Donbass region, Ukraine, Apr eight, 2021. [Source: voanews.com]

The U.S./Eu/NATO and Ukraine have all been pretending since 2014 that "Russia invaded Ukraine"—which it never did, though Ukrainian provocations brand information technology more probable that it soon will.

The state of war in Ukraine is not a Ukrainian civil war, nor is it a war between Russians and Ukrainians.

It is a war by resurgent international neo-Nazism, led by the USA against a people fighting for their autonomy backed by a reinvigorated Great Ability, Russia, which wants to expand its regional influence and annul a legitimate security threat on its edge.

Ukraine's Anti-Russia Azov Battalion: 'Minutemen' or Neo-Nazi Terrorists?
Azov battalion preparing for fight in Eastern Ukraine. The Azov battalion includes many neo-Nazis. [Source: thedailybeast.com]

World Flash Betoken

The fight in Donbass is one of the major world's flash points alongside Syria and Taiwan—where U.South. provocations threaten a major state of war with Red china.

If the Westward forces a military confrontation with Russian federation in Ukraine, it can be sure it will face one with China over Taiwan simultaneously, neither of which it has any run a risk of winning. The Russians and Chinese have forged a partnership against Western, primarily U.S. aggression in the political, economical, and military spheres.

In Syria, the Turks (a NATO member) have in recent days directly threatened Russian military installations and troops; Should they really comport out attacks on Russians in Syrian arab republic, Russia has fabricated clear information technology volition fire back. Turkish troops are now also on the ground in Ukraine, involved in gainsay operations confronting Donbass Defense Forces. This likewise, is a major and recent escalation.

Ukraine signs memorandum on training and maintenance centres for Turkish drones
Ukrainian President Volodymr Zelensky signs a memorandum in September with Turkish Minister to constitute joint training and maintenance centers for Turkish armed drones. [Source: trmonitor.cyberspace]

Russia Prepares Its Saddle

Only it is in Donbass that the situation is the nearly incendiary. In response to recent Ukrainian provocations and acts of terrorism, Russia is over again sending a armed services task forcefulness to its border with Ukraine, every bit it did in the spring of this year, which stopped the planned U.Southward./Ukrainian offensive in its tracks.

Pro-Russian masked armed militants guard barricades near Slovyansk, eastern Ukraine, on April 30, 2014.
Donbass defenders guard barricades well-nigh Slovyansk, eastern Ukraine, on April thirty, 2014. [Source: nbcnews.com]

After the offensive was scrubbed and the situation de-escalated, the Russian troops withdrew from the border, but now again have returned. This time, indications are that the Russian formations are preparing to, at minimum, come into Donbass every bit peacekeepers, and perchance go as far as Kharkov and Odessa as Liberators. Maybe even to Kyiv.

Equally the recent words of Putin, Lavrov, Medvedev and others take made clear, the Russians have at present decided that the fourth dimension for talking is over. At that place is an old proverb about Russians that applies perfectly well to the current state of affairs—"The Russians are slow to saddle their horses, only when they do, they ride very, very fast."

Russia demands parts of Ukraine are given regional autonomy as NATO  condemns build-up of forces on the border | Daily Mail Online
Vladimir Putin, left, and Sergey Lavrov. [Source: dailymail.co.united kingdom]

Those horses accept now been saddled.

Responsibleness to Protect (R2P)

If the Russians were to deepen their involvement in the Ukraine, they would not exist doing anything the U.S. and NATO take not done themselves on more 1 occasion.

Russia not only has therightto protect its citizens, it has the responsibleness to do so, nether international police.

The "R2P" or "Responsibility to Protect" concept is based on three "pillars" –

Colonnade I—Each individual land has the responsibility to protect its population from genocide, war crimes, ethnic cleansing, and crimes confronting humanity.

Colonnade Ii"States pledge to assist each other in their protection responsibilities."

Colonnade 3If any country is "patently failing" in its protection responsibilities, then states should accept collective action to protect the population" in a "timely and decisive response."

The Un Security Council has recognized and reaffirmed its delivery to the R2P in more than 80 resolutions. R2P as such has the force of international law.

Responsibility to protect (R2P or RtoP): Is it a disguised Blessing or  Oppression to the humanity? - NILS Bangladesh
[Source: nilsbangladesh.org]

The flip side of R2P is that information technology has been used as an excuse by the most powerful countries for international war crimes and has resulted in the trampling of land sovereignty.

One of the requirements of R2P is a UN Security Quango resolution approval its implementation. Though this will never happen in the instance of Ukraine, there tin can be no uncertainty that Ukraine is, in fact, guilty of all the crimes that R2P was created to prevent, including a) war crimes, b) indigenous cleansing, and c) crimes against humanity, all of which have been, and continue to be, committed by the Kyiv regime and its armed forces on a daily ground.

Torchlit march in Kyiv honors Nazi-linked nationalist | The Times of Israel
Torchlight parade in Kyiv on Jan one, 2020, by Neo-Nazis who have infiltrated the U.Due south. backed government in Ukraine. The rally was organized to marking the birth anniversary of Stepan Bandera, a Nazi collaborator and founder of a rebel army that fought against the Soviet regime. Bandera is a hero to many of the Maidan Square protesters that overthrew the pro-Russian Yanukovych authorities in Ukraine with U.Due south. back up. [Source: timesofisrael.com]

Russian intervention as such could exist justified under the R2P doctrine–though it is unlikely any NATO countries would acknowledge this.

A person holding an object next to a person in a military uniform    Description automatically generated with low confidence
Ukraine Ground forces terrorist in Starmaryevka on October 26, 2021, wearing patch of SS Nazi Galicia Battalion in Telly interview. [Photograph Courtesy of Russel Bentley]

Who Will Terminate the Crimes Against Humanity?

The list of Kyiv's war crimes nether international police include: a) deprival of water to almost 2.5 meg civilians in Crimea, b) the intentional targeting of civilians, journalists and medical personnel past artillery and snipers, c) random terror attacks on civilian areas, d) kidnapping, e) rape, f) torture and thousand) murder.

A group of people in riot gear    Description automatically generated with medium confidence
Civilians caught in crossfire in War in Eastern Ukraine. [Source: countercurrents.org]
image from vkontakte by user Yarik Musaev
Mark from a shell fired by the Ukrainian regular army in a school in Slavyansk. I of the shells blasted through the roof of the school'south associates hall. [Source: countercurrents.org]

The Russians have over 2,000 specific state of war crimes cases open against the Kyiv regime and its proxies, and more are existence opened daily. Fifty-fifty the USA has opened war crimes investigations into at least seven U.S. citizens who fought on the Kyiv side in the war.

A person holding an object next to a person in military uniform    Description automatically generated with low confidence
American mercenaries, Brian Boyenger, left, and David Kleman, who fought with far-right Ukrainian nationalists in Eastern Ukraine. Both are under investigation by the FBI and Department of Justice for war crimes that include torturing and possibly killing prisoners of war. [Source: buzzfeednews.com]

These investigations into kidnapping, torture, rape, and murder are based on bystander, and video and forensic evidence. It volition be the offset time the U.S. has prosecuted anyone under the War Crimes Act since its passage into law in 1996, a quarter century ago.

The Ukrainian military has every bit of this writing massacred at least 10,000 indigenous Russian civilians. Some were killed in house-to-firm searches of civilian homes by paramilitary units wearing Nazi insignia on their uniforms. The Gestapo-like forces were searching for DPR and Russian passports and kidnapped those who had them.

DVIDS - News - Ukraine, U.S. Forces train for urban operations
Ukrainian soldiers equipped by the U.S undertaking house-to-house searches where they often terrorized civilians. [Source: dvidshub.net]

The Russians cannot just stand by and allow this to happen. And neither should Americans.

Western intellectuals take been quick to invoke R2P to back up the bombing of Libya and Syria and a host of other Middle E countries as a cover for U.S. assailment. Merely how many will invoke the same doctrine when information technology can be practical to actually save people from large-scale ethnic cleansing and crimes confronting humanity—if Russia is the one doing the saving? Likely none.

Part 2: Three Options for Russia

The fashion I run across it, Russia currently has three main options:

1) The Donbass Programme—The Russian Army tin can ringlet into Donbass every bit peacekeepers, along the current contact line from North of Lugansk to Mariupol, after publicly announcing it to the world a few hours ahead of fourth dimension, in order to warn the Ukrainian military against resistance, and to explain and justify its humanitarian intervention to the "international community." They would announce that they come in peace to cease the war crimes and the war, but that any war machine resistance from any source will be instantly eliminated, with the warning, "If yous shoot at us, yous die."

This ultimatum would be not-negotiable and backed up by Russia'due south total military power, including air and missile forces, and applied non only to Ukrainian military machine units, but to U.S. and NATO troops in Ukraine and U.Southward. and NATO ships in the Black Sea, also as anywhere else. Information technology can and should besides include a reminder of Putin's previous quote that"Russia volition respond to whatsoever assail past the destruction not but of the source of the attack, but also the source of the orders for the attack."

A group of people sitting on a tank    Description automatically generated with medium confidence
DPR soldiers welcome greater Russian support in the war. [Source: springtimeofnations.blogspot.com]

This pick would stop all terrorist attacks confronting Donbass, permanently and completely, and would hopefully give time for a diplomatic solution based on new political realities to be found. It would also non entail the taking of any territory under Ukraine command, only that which has long been alleged under "Russian occupation".

Once it is seen that the Russians reallyare coming, and they reallydo mean business organization, it is unlikely that the Americans, NATO, or the Ukrainians will fire a shot. This is the least confrontational and least risky approach, equally it could be achieved in a matter of 24 hours, with minimal bloodshed.

This may seem to exist a businesslike solution, but it has the least gamble of finding a political compromise or permanent solution, in either the short or long terms. And while it would stop war crimes and protect Russian citizens, it would fail to resolve the overriding geopolitical issues Russia faces in Ukraine—belligerent war criminals on Russia's borders, the critical Crimean h2o security issue, foreign enemies in control of a neighboring land, etc. I advantage to this plan, however, is that could be used equally a offset stage of the Novorussia Plan.

A man scoops water into containers on the bank of a section of the North Crimean Canal outside the town of Krasnoperekopsk, in northern Crimea, May 10, 2014. (Reuters File Photo)
A man scoops h2o into containers on the banking company of a section of the North Crimean culvert in Northern Crimea in May, 2014. Ukraine and the U.Due south. sought to impose a cruel water occludent on Crimea to punish its people for voting to rejoin Russia in a plebiscite. [Source: dailysabah.com]

2) The second selection is The Novorussia Plan. Under this plan, the Russians tin liberate the surface area known as Novorussia, about one 3rd of electric current Ukraine, with bulk indigenous Russian populations, running along a line from Kharkov to Odessa (inclusive). This not only protects the vast bulk of ethnic Russians (not just those in Donbass) from Ukrainian depredations, it solves the critical humanitarian h2o crisis in Crimea, and cuts Ukraine completely off from the Black Sea. This will as well eviscerate all that is left of the Ukrainian economy and begin the process of the dismantling of Ukraine along indigenous lines while eliminating it every bit a land and as a threat to Russia once and for all.

[Source: annal.4plebs.org]

It will besides serve equally an instance to the world of the new political reality that Russia reserves the correct to defend itself, unilaterally, if need exist, and that the nation with the most powerful war machine in the world also has the political will to utilise it, if it has no other choice and if it is forced to defend itself. This scenario has the all-time hope of long-term stability for the region, and even the possibility of a futurity re-integration of some parts of central Ukraine with Novorussia.

Unfortunately, the vast majority of war criminals would probably escape to the West, at least for a while.

Flag of Novorossiya
Novorussia flag. [Source: wikipedia.org]

3) The third plan, the Kyiv Plan, would exist to become to Kyiv, which may or may non involve engaging in a major war. In the best case scenario for Russian federation, the U.S. and NATO would desert Ukraine in the face of a real fight and go out them on their own. Even if Ukraine did not capitulate in the beginning few hours, whatever actual conflict could be finished in a few days, and the process of de-Nazification and war offense trials could begin. In an alternative scenario, the U.S. and NATO would launch air strikes and the war could devolve into a quagmire for Russia, with the take a chance of nuclear war intensifying.

Ukrainians dressed in the SS Galician Division uniform stand in the guard of honor during re-burial ceremony at the SS Galician Division cemetery near the village of Chervone in western Ukraine on Sunday, July 21, 2013. (photo credit: AP/Efrem Lukatsky)
Ukrainians dressed in the SS Galician Division uniform stand in the guard of laurels during re-burial ceremony at the SS Galician Division cemetery nearly the hamlet of Chervone in Western Ukraine. [Source: timesofisrael.com]

My belief is that the outcome of the open combat phase of the war would be along the lines of the Start Iraq War, (with 80% – 90% of Ukrainian soldiers surrendering without firing a shot) but the subsequent "occupation" would actually be a existent liberation. With the removal of neo-Nazis and corrupt oligarchs from positions of ability, and the improvement of life quality and life chances for a vast majority of the population, about Ukrainians (with the exception of the rabid fascists in Galicia or Poland) will see the Russian Ground forces as their grandparents saw the Cherry-red Army, as heroes and liberators from strange occupation—which is exactly what they would be.

A war memorial at Savur-Mohyla Height marking the liberation of the Donbass region from Nazi invaders in the Second World War (Valentin Sprinchak/TASS via Getty Images)
A war memorial at Savur-Mohyla Height marking the liberation of the Donbass region from Nazi invaders in the 2d World War. The Russians would exist viewed similarly to the Scarlet Army liberators of yesteryear. [Source: lowyinstitute.org]

This may be the least viable and least attractive of the 3 scenarios, but information technology is an selection, and information technology would have the required issue of stopping the war crimes against Russian citizens and eliminating Ukraine as an existential threat right on Russia's doorstep. It would also accept the benefit of the capture a large per centum of war criminals (Ukrainian and otherwise) every bit well as documents and testify that might be of great interest to history, Russia and the world—an selection worthy of serious consideration.

A picture containing building, road, outdoor, street    Description automatically generated
Liberation parade in Ukraine in 2004 celebrating the liberation of the land from fascist rule by the Cherry-red Regular army at the end of Globe War 2. [Source: wikipedia.org]

Of all three of these plans, the 2nd, the Novorussia Programme has the most benefit at the least price. Simply going to the contact line in Donbass is not sufficient to resolve the festering Ukrainian problem, and going all the way to Kyiv may well price more than it is worth. The Novorussia Programme resolves all disquisitional issues at an acceptable cost, and can exist implemented, if need be, as a second stage of the Donbass Program.

The flag of Novorossiya (New Russia) flies at a checkpoint manned by pro-Russian fighters (Reuters)
Novorussia flag in rebel held territory in Donetsk. [Source: noelmaurer.typepad.com]

With the Voronezh troops coming in through (or around) Kharkov, Airborne and amphibious troops landing in (or around) Odessa, the Rostov Ground forces coming up through Donbass, and the Crimean Army and Black Sea Fleet working along the declension, along with the Bryansk Ground forces waiting in reserve and ready to have Kyiv if required, the 700 Km Forepart, running from Kharkov to Odessa could be formed and held in a matter of days.

Once Russian fuel and human aid kickoff to menses to liberated Novorussia, grateful citizens will not just not oppose Russian "occupation," they will back up it every bit genuine liberation, and fifty-fifty be ready to defend it themselves from the cold and hungry Ukrainians who will be begging to exist allowed to immigrate to Novorussia.

Incorrigible Nazis and state of war criminals will be rounded up, tried, and sentenced to piece of work battalions in Donbass, to repair every single thing destroyed or damaged in the state of war, including the monument at Saur Mogila and all monuments to the Reddish Army Liberators in the newly liberated lands of Novorussia. The majority of Russian soldiers will quickly be free to render to Russian federation, and leave the administration and protection of the newly liberated lands to their inhabitants.

Vladimir Putin has more than once recounted a lesson that he learned as a youth on the tough streets of Leningrad."If the fight is inevitable, it is all-time to strike first."

If war indeed breaks out, the main responsibility would rest with the U.S. which triggered the current mess through its sponsorship of the February 2014 insurrection in Ukraine and gave a green-light for Ukraine to attack its Eastern provinces.


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